Mintscore

Primera Division · Sunday, August 16, 2026 · 03:00 PM

Club Atlético de MadridvsMálaga CF

Outcome probabilities

62%
24%
14%
Atleti winDrawMálaga win

Atleti

62%

fair odds 1.60

Draw

24%

fair odds 4.20

Málaga

14%

fair odds 7.27

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

2.05 - 0.89

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

Under 2.5 goals

44%

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 - 1
    11.4%
  • #22 - 0
    11.1%
  • #32 - 1
    9.9%
  • #41 - 0
    9.0%
  • #53 - 0
    7.6%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →