Mintscore

Championship · Saturday, August 15, 2026 · 02:00 PM

Stoke City FCvsSwansea City AFC

Outcome probabilities

45%
31%
24%
Stoke winDrawSwansea win

Stoke

45%

fair odds 2.20

Draw

31%

fair odds 3.25

Swansea

24%

fair odds 4.21

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.47 - 1.01

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

Under 2.5 goals

55%

Head to head · last 6

2

Wins

2

Draws

2

Losses

6

Goals for

8

Goals against

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 - 1
    14.7%
  • #20 - 0
    10.6%
  • #31 - 0
    10.1%
  • #42 - 1
    9.1%
  • #52 - 0
    9.0%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →