Mintscore

Championship · Saturday, August 15, 2026 · 02:00 PM

Bristol City FCvsMillwall FC

Outcome probabilities

25%
30%
45%
Bristol City winDrawMillwall win

Bristol City

25%

fair odds 4.05

Draw

30%

fair odds 3.31

Millwall

45%

fair odds 2.22

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.07 - 1.51

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

Head to head · last 6

3

Wins

0

Draws

3

Losses

8

Goals for

7

Goals against

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 - 1
    14.5%
  • #20 - 0
    9.8%
  • #30 - 1
    9.3%
  • #41 - 2
    9.2%
  • #50 - 2
    8.6%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →