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Eredivisie · Sunday, August 9, 2026 · 10:15 AM

Sparta RotterdamvsFeyenoord Rotterdam

Outcome probabilities

12%
23%
65%
Sparta winDrawFeyenoord win

Sparta

12%

fair odds 8.11

Draw

23%

fair odds 4.35

Feyenoord

65%

fair odds 1.55

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

0.85 - 2.11

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

Under 2.5 goals

43%

Head to head · last 6

1

Wins

2

Draws

3

Losses

7

Goals for

15

Goals against

Most likely scorelines

  • #10 - 2
    11.6%
  • #21 - 1
    11.0%
  • #31 - 2
    9.8%
  • #40 - 1
    9.3%
  • #50 - 3
    8.1%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →