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Eredivisie · Saturday, August 8, 2026 · 06:00 PM

PSVvsFortuna Sittard

Outcome probabilities

73%
15%
12%
PSV winDrawSittard win

PSV

73%

fair odds 1.38

Draw

15%

fair odds 6.84

Sittard

13%

fair odds 7.83

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

3.41 - 1.53

Both teams to score

76%

Over 2.5 goals

87%

Under 2.5 goals

13%

Head to head · last 6

5

Wins

1

Draws

0

Losses

18

Goals for

7

Goals against

Most likely scorelines

  • #13 - 1
    7.2%
  • #22 - 1
    6.4%
  • #34 - 1
    6.2%
  • #43 - 2
    5.5%
  • #52 - 2
    4.9%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →