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Primera Division · Saturday, May 9, 2026 · 12:00 PM

Elche CFvsDeportivo Alavés

Outcome probabilities

43%
31%
26%
Elche winDrawAlavés win

Elche

43%

fair odds 2.33

Draw

31%

fair odds 3.26

Alavés

26%

fair odds 3.78

Goal expectations

Expected goals (xG)

1.45 – 1.10

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

Under 2.5 goals

53%

Most likely scorelines

  • #11 – 1
    14.7%
  • #20 – 0
    10.0%
  • #31 – 0
    9.1%
  • #42 – 1
    9.0%
  • #52 – 0
    8.2%

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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →