Primera Division · Saturday, May 9, 2026 · 04:30 PM
Club Atlético de MadridvsRC Celta de Vigo
Outcome probabilities
66%
23%
11%
Atleti winDrawCelta win
Atleti
66%
fair odds 1.50
Draw
23%
fair odds 4.33
Celta
10%
fair odds 9.60
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
2.03 – 0.72
Both teams to score
46%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Under 2.5 goals
48%
Most likely scorelines
- #12 – 013.2%
- #21 – 011.4%
- #31 – 111.0%
- #42 – 19.5%
- #53 – 09.0%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →