Ligue 1 · Sunday, May 10, 2026 · 07:00 PM
Le Havre ACvsOlympique de Marseille
Outcome probabilities
41%
29%
30%
Le Havre winDrawMarseille win
Le Havre
41%
fair odds 2.42
Draw
29%
fair odds 3.48
Marseille
30%
fair odds 3.34
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.58 – 1.32
Both teams to score
60%
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Under 2.5 goals
45%
Most likely scorelines
- #11 – 113.6%
- #22 – 19.1%
- #30 – 07.6%
- #41 – 27.6%
- #52 – 06.9%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →