Serie A · Saturday, May 9, 2026 · 06:45 PM
US LeccevsJuventus FC
Outcome probabilities
31%
32%
37%
Lecce winDrawJuventus win
Lecce
31%
fair odds 3.18
Draw
32%
fair odds 3.11
Juventus
36%
fair odds 2.74
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.16 – 1.26
Both teams to score
52%
Over 2.5 goals
44%
Under 2.5 goals
56%
Most likely scorelines
- #11 – 115.3%
- #20 – 011.2%
- #30 – 18.9%
- #41 – 28.2%
- #51 – 07.9%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →