Serie A · Sunday, May 10, 2026 · 01:00 PM
ACF FiorentinavsGenoa CFC
Outcome probabilities
42%
30%
28%
Fiorentina winDrawGenoa win
Fiorentina
42%
fair odds 2.40
Draw
30%
fair odds 3.28
Genoa
28%
fair odds 3.60
Goal expectations
Expected goals (xG)
1.45 – 1.15
Both teams to score
55%
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Under 2.5 goals
52%
Most likely scorelines
- #11 – 114.6%
- #20 – 09.7%
- #32 – 19.0%
- #41 – 08.5%
- #52 – 07.8%
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Probabilities derived from a Poisson goal-expectancy model with Dixon-Coles low-score correction. Read about the method →